The Energy Information Administration revised sharply higher its price expectations for retail gasoline and diesel fuels from its previous assessment in May, with the updated forecast sparked by a rallying oil market amid sentiment that the economy is recovering and demand for fuel will increase as a result.
"Oil prices rose for the third consecutive month in May, driven in part by expectations of a global economic recovery and future increases in oil consumption," the agency said. "In addition, a weaker dollar and increasing financial market activity are prompting higher prices for commodities, overshadowing weak oil supply and demand fundamentals."
Publishing the information in its Short-term Energy Outlook for June released last week, the EIA adjusted higher by 21cts its forecast for what retail gasoline will average in 2009 to $2.33 gal. The agency expects a monthly summer seasonal peak in July that averages near $2.70 gal.