The amount of refinery capacity that is available through January 2010 will be sufficient to meet gasoline and distillate demand predictions and should not have a significant impact on fuel prices, the Energy Information Administration reported in its Market Assessment of Refinery Outages planned for October through January 2010, released Nov. 24.
Available refinery crude distillation capacity could run about 2 million bpd more than is projected to be needed during the October though January period, the report states. Because of this, at least 10 percent of available capacity may not be needed. Also, available catalytic cracking unit capacity will be about 10 percent greater than projected U.S. feed input to catalytic crackers.
Estimates include the impact of the indefinite idling of Sunoco’s 150,000 bpd Eagle Point Refinery in New Jersey, the report states. PADD 1, where this refinery is located, is the area of most concern, the report states. However, with U.S. gasoline and distillate demand projected to remain close to or below 2008 levels, and with stocks for both being normal to very high in most regions, the outage should present no major supply concerns.