Oil demand and prices should continue to climb in the third quarter even with ongoing uncertainty with respect to economic recovery, deficit reduction in the United States and the debt crisis in Europe, according to the quarterly outlook released Aug. 3 by Ernst & Young LLP.
In the first quarter, with expectations for continued economic improvement and as a result of supply disruptions from the Middle East oil prices rose to more than $100 bbl. After peaking in the second quarter, crude prices fell back slightly with the announced stock release by the International Energy Agency on June 23, but started to gain again through July. However, oil prices are again dropping back as the economic recovery loses steam.